We can start by dividing aspects of run prevention into two categories: those that the pitcher controls almost entirely and those in which his defense plays a major role. If it's not a Kenley Jansen/Andrew Miller-type talent, don't bother signing them to long-term, big-money contracts. If you're watching every at bat, you know when a batter crushed a ball and when one barely found a hole, but you aren't going to remember every one, you're going to make subjective judgments, and you certainly didn't watch every swing in the league during a season. Three of the seven original members remain active. (Splits the difference between their vs LH and vs RH ratings. I don't know what gap is good for so I generally ignore it. Make sure to look at their pitches as well, a guy with four plus-pitches will have an advantage over a guy who only has two or three. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Is Bartolo Colon the worst batter ever to hit a home run? In real life, surely you'd just not throw the awful one very much? I already ordered the book, bill james baseball abstract and baseball between the numbers and hopefully that covers some more. and our You wander around the house opening doors hoping to find a pile of coats. We want our questions to guide us to a statistic, we don't want statistics to guide us to a question. Also of importance, alternate your lineup with righty and lefty hitters. In order to start, a pitcher should know at least 3 pitches. Hi all, hope you're enjoying the game as much as I am. 5. Baseball-Reference (rWAR) uses runs allowed as their base but also works in a control for defense after the fact. What do these stats tell you? After calculating each max pitch splits value (250 for both current and potential rating), they were averaged together to see the effect of arm slot on the splits ratio. If you have a great power hitter who is fragile (injury-prone), it's good to put them at first base, because they are far less likely to get injured playing there than running around in the outfield. Home of the Whalehead Baseball League. That reminds me of one more interesting fact: any starter, turned into a reliever, automatically gains a bonus to stuff, but only if he is used as a reliever! So it seems dependent on the players avoid Ks/BABIP. If you don't strike batters out, you create a situation in which you're more likely to allow hits. RP: STUFF is pretty key here. Playoffs Begin: 9/30/2016, Draft pool | Fantasy Baseball League of Doom, Official changes for season 4 of the league, Timetable for "official" day one of the draft. Completely ignore Gap. Its part of the stuff calculation, but its not everything (think Greg Maddux or Jamie Moyer). National Popularity: How well the player is liked by fans in general. This goes beyond errors (which are poorly assigned anyway) and centers on the play not made. Suggested Role= Where the computer suggests the player should be playing. We all want to understand and appreciate the game. May 5, 2011. Press J to jump to the feed. Using them makes it easier to jump between your various rosters. His BABIP is identical to his career average and very much in line with his recent past. Some portion of those runs belong to the pitcher and statistics like FIP try to estimate that value. Major League and Minor League Baseball trademarks and copyrights are used with permission of Major League Baseball. Same is true if it's a 2.00 ERA and 3.40 FIP with a.220 BABIP. It doesn't look like there's anything particularly different about Shields between this year and last, other than a slight uptick in ground balls, but he's been up and down with those during his entire career. Weve already metOVR andPOT. - In real life, control matters a lot when it comes to strikeouts. These broad ratings are based on underlying injury ratings. 6. These are more or less rolled into one and labeled Ability. There are a couple of versions of the stat, but I'll give you the basic idea first. Is a STU 50 / MOV 65 / CON 75 pitcher going to be effective or is his lack of stuff going to hamstring him? Starting with OOTP 16, the game has licenses for Major League Baseball and Minor League Baseball . The higher Fan Interest you have, the more fans come to your games, and the moremoney you make on Gate Sales and Merchandising Sales. Just a few thoughts off the top of my head. How could I do this potential dynasty here easily enough, perhaps? Back Proneness = The tendency of a player to get back injuries. Low Movement = Giving up lots of HRs. - Do pitch types matter at all? As for background on baseball, I only know the basics. Legs Proneness = The tendency of a player to get leg injuries. Is there something under the hood that determine a pitcher's splits? has horrible splits vs RH and should probably only be used as a platooned player. Out of the Park Baseball Go! I waver on this one depending on ERA+ and potential. The splits ratio for this setup was 1.1 (favoring the same handedness). A special OOTP livestream with MLB player Brett Phillips! Pitchers should be held accountable for those. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Of course, if a stat is better than what I've listed here, then it can compensate for another stat that's slightly worse johnnyslick 5 yr. ago Like, if a guy throws four pitches, does it matter at all which four pitches they are, or only how good they are? Ill introduce some of the games advanced statistics in later posts, so be sure to keep a look out! CF - Centerfielders need good range more than anything, preferably 60+, ideally 65-70+ RF - Rightfielders need big arms, as they are responsible for cutting down first-to-third plays and the like. Which brings us to Expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) which is the same thing as FIP except that it calculates the number of home runs you should have allowed given the number of fly balls you allowed and a league average HR/FB%. If they're averaging 25% strikeouts over 150 innings after years of an 17% strikeout rate, you can believe it. The distinction between middle reliever and closer, just like it is in real life, is more or less meaningless. Sometimes you find it, but sometimes you give up and just wear your coat and pretend you're cold. Pitchers who routinely pitch deep into games are more valuable than ones who pitch well, but don't stay out there very long, so you want to make sure you're giving more credit to guys with equal numbers but more innings. Then, if one reliever goes cold (as they do), you can just switch them out with someone tearing up AAA. We use numbers in baseball to tell a story and analyze what we see. Hold Runners Historical Leagues - retired players coming back? As a whole, pitching and defense down the middle are very important and will win you games, even if your lineup isn't exactly star-studded. The averages were 1.01 for over the top, 1.05 for normal (3/4), 1.17 for sidearm and 1.27 for submarine. If you see a pitcher allowing a higher or lower BABIP than that by a sizable margin for the first time, you're looking at a candidate for regression to the mean. This was in fact the case. Everyone raves about Walter Johnson's fastball, for an example, but it peaks at 55 in OOTP (but even that makes him one of the best flamethrowers of his era). Its whether the curve ball snaps or hangs, theres a cut on the fastball (or even a bit of a hop), or whether the changeup dips a bit. Arm is important for RF but I'd say range is nearly as important. Markus Heinsohn. The #4 guy comes up with more RISP and high leverage spots. Sometimes, too, your bullpen will just need a rest and you need to have a guy or two who can give you a solid 7 innings (or, if you're playing in different eras, actually complete the game himself) to give everyone a breather. This doesnt mean he throws hard or that he has an exceptional fastball; it just means that, somehow, possibly through voodoo or human sacrifice, hes striking people out. new York highlanders 1903 Earlier versions of OOTP: Historical Simulations Subreddit dedicated to the baseball management game, Out of the Park Baseball. COPYRIGHT 2020 OUT OF THE PARK DEVELOPMENTS. Available - OOTP 22 Available - FHM 8 Available OOTP Baseball 23 Available Now! A starter with fewer than three pitches is in a lot of trouble, and if you find a starter with two pitches, its worth bumping him to reliever. A rotation composed entirely of 50s can be very good, if you have the right players and a little luck. Most of the other members have a 25+ year history. If more than one pitch is in a player's repertoire, those pitches are weighted on how good the pitch is and then averaged. Drive up the pitch count and get on base. The minus sign indicates that the stat is park and league adjusted, meaning that 100 is league average at a neutral park and every point lower is a percentage point better than league average. I won't even consider guys as a starter unless they have 3 pitches 65 or higher. This makes sense in real life as well; if a pitcher only has 3 pitches, even if they are all really good, there is less variation in what they can throw compared to someone with 5 pitches that are all just as good. CXATCHER ABILITY IS BETTER THAN ARM FOR CATCHER, also ignore goundballers y ou need a mix of pitchers groundballers aintr the bestal lthe time. But, generally I look at contact and power then eye or avoid k. Prefer eye, but a high avoid k can be nice. 95% of the time it doesn't work out, and then you are stuck with a reliever, as starters generally have three or more good pitches, while relievers have two. Oftentimes, people ask a FanGraphs writer or a well-established stathead where to start and their typical answer is to start withThe Book or to click around in theFanGraphs library. 0:00 Intro0:50 Defensive ratings and position ratings are separ. If your FIP is 3.20, that's good. Splits Then, you move on to learning about the metrics we have which answer those questions. In this photo, Mike Morse is hitting a grand slam without a baseball bat, The whole 2001 ALDS Game 3 needs a deep rewind, The three-ball walk, and other counting failures. DO NOT post bug reports in this forum, please! (LogOut/ You can essentially think about FIP as a pitcher's ERA if that pitcher had received league average defense and league average luck. FanGraphs is one of the leading sabermetric websites which houses many of the most important stats. Steam Users - Please review OOTP 22. Control= The ability to paint the corner. Will compile this when I get on my PC. Fuck it I'll test this tonight on my old ass OOTP 20, remove every variable, every pitcher has the same ratings, no talent change, lowest fatigue, no morale, same coach ratings, no injuries, etc. I dont know who the people putting gap are but Ill assume it was an accident. how to evaluate a hitter, sabermetrically. FIP tells you how a pitcher is doing based on three very critical indicators of success, but there is more to the story. Is it randomness? The second annual Whalehead Winter Meetings will take place on Saturday, January 14, 2022, starting at 9 AM EST. For more information, please see our The next six columns give you a breakdown between lefties and righties. Neil Weinberg is the Associate Managing Editor atBeyond The Box Score, a contributor to Gammons Daily, and can also be found writing enthusiastically about theDetroit Tigers at New English D.Follow @NeilWeinberg44. Then I ask the Bench Coach for all lineups and depth charts. If you make your relievers start, its your funeral. Late in the game, you want the other team to make the difficult choice of leaving in their loogy to face a right hander or having to burn another bullpen guy. Control is a pitchers ability to throw strikes. PSUColonel. Generally, a starter needs at least 3 average or better pitches (with a couple exceptions). But why are the individual pitch ratings so bad? When you let a player with a high Local Pop go, the fans are not happy. OOTP 22 is just $5! Rated 1-200 (1 being great 200 being horrible). Overall= Used for a quick reference to determine the overall ratings of a player. and with a vs RH of 40-40-40-40-40 Position Ratings= This is the middle box where it gives one single rating for each position the player knows how to play. How to evaluate a pitcher,sabermetrically, Beyond the Box Score blog Beyond the Box Score. If you want to know more about the game, but don't know where to start, hopefully this will send you on your way! Really any higher and they get demoted. Don't have like 3 or 4 of the same handiness in a row if you can help it. Mid-season, if their FIP is better than 3.50, I'll promote. If a ratio of 1.000 was observed, no splits were seen between same and opposite handedness. Here's how I look at it - listed in order of most important to me on down and the top three ratings I look at: C - Blocking, Arm Strength, Arm Accuracy. But if they only have 3 pitches total, to be an effective starter, two or three of those need to be really good. Next, I wanted to take a look at how individual pitches effected a pitcher's splits ratio. by ChrisBarrett68. I try to assess hitters and pitchers every 20 games, but staggered by 10. 1B - Fielding, Reaction, Arm Strength (for relay throws if they are the cutoff man) 2B - Reaction, Speed (for ranging into the hole and up the middle), Fielding. First, you need to know what questions to ask. The last study I wanted to conduct was how a pitch that develops over time would effect the splits ratio? Some pitchers have the ability to limit their BABIP, predominantly fly ball pitchers because fly balls drop for hits less often than grounders and line drives, but for the most part, most pitchers will sit near .300. Sticky: Get more out of baseball with Stathead - now with a special OOTP discount! It's also important to factor in the park in which the pitcher throws. Contact isnt even a real rating, BABIP (which is one of only 3 parts of contact) is the real rating. But FIP isn't perfect and you want to add in HR/FB%, BABIP, and ground ball rate to see if there's something going on that could explain why a pitcher is responsible for under or over-performing their FIP. A ratio below one indicated splits in favor of the opposite handedness. Subreddit dedicated to the baseball management game, Out of the Park Baseball. Looking for translation help! If you're able to keep the ball on the ground, you aren't going to give up as many runs, all else equal. #OOTP21 #OOTP22 #OOTP By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. How Do Arm Slots and Individual Pitches Effect Pitcher Splits? The Current rating is what directly effects how a player performs NOW, while the Potential is what the player COULD become if he develops. If a batter has greater than 120 OPS+ with at least 100 PA, I move them up a league. Information copied and/or based on this great post at ProSportsDaily.com. This is all subjective (baseball is fun like that!) Ie, a 70+ rated pitch to finish hitters off? Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com. Next you want to take a peak at the components of FIP and a host of other indicators to see if what that number is telling you is reasonably accurate. It literally means nothing in OOTP, apart from the All Star Game (and the way the AI treats pitchers on fully automated teams). (LogOut/ FIP - When assessing relievers especially, FIP > ERA. Speed= How fast a player runs. Place on Saturday, January 14, 2022, starting at 9 am EST or 4 of the opposite.... So bad contact ) is the real rating stuff calculation, but its not (. Baseball and Minor League baseball start, its your funeral starting with OOTP 16, the fans are not.! 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Up the pitch count and get on my PC finish hitters off luck. Better than 3.50, I move them up a League is good for so generally.